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Trust and transparency

A forecast should show its work and its limits.

HAPPENSNEXT publishes the boundaries of what it can actually do, including the experimental status of its first grounded route and the research-only status of other layers.

01

No black-box certainty theatre.

For the supported football contract, the predictor owns the number and Kimi only explains it. For unsupported domains, HNX does not disguise a prose completion as a governed forecast.

Probability is not certainty.
Kimi cannot alter the card.
Unsupported domains do not get a fake percentage.
02

Freshness is part of the answer.

A forecast based on old data should not look identical to one grounded in current observations. Data age and provider coverage belong in the decision surface.

Source and observation time.
Provider availability.
Changed-since-last-run context.
03

Outcomes matter.

Private grounded records are stored before they are shown. The resolver later waits for a final source-confirmed score; it does not infer live or retrospective outcomes.

Immutable revisions.
Private by default.
Resolved outcomes can be scored.

Governed probability

For the supported route, the registered specialist predictor owns the stored 1X2 vector.

Evidence quality

The card reports pre-cutoff inputs, source timestamps, data sufficiency and limitations.

Immutable record

Updates are new revisions. The original probability stays preserved until reality resolves it.